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The iPhone moment

August 6, 2025 • 1:57:30

In Episode 35, True North - Episode 35 - β€œThe iPhone moment” Agenda: 1. Key discussion points include bitcoin as unit, btc treasury strategy, preferred equity insight, perpetual preferreds, dividend coverage math. Market context: MSTR closed at $383.41 with mNAV at ~1.68.

Market Snapshot

  • Date: 8/6/25
  • MSTR Open/Close: $374.75 / $383.41
  • Volume: 7,032,447 shares
  • mNAV: ~1.68
  • Market Cap: ~$109B
  • U.S. Market Cap Rank: 98
  • BTC Held: 628,791

Chapters

  • 00:00:00 β€” intro: cue the music, agenda, NFA and TN mission
  • 00:00:00 β€” Bitcoin as unit: framing equities in BTC
  • 00:04:19 β€” BTC treasury strategy: leverage update
  • 00:07:05 β€” preferred equity insight: debt maturity risk
  • 00:10:00 β€” perpetual preferreds: no principal repayment risk
  • 00:13:01 β€” dividend coverage math: BTC drawdown scenario & convertible bond shift for new entrants
  • 00:18:55 β€” bond vs. preferred: capital structure evolution
  • 00:24:22 β€” 124-year coverage: preferreds for accretive BTC buys
  • 00:29:55 β€” MSTR enterprise value: full capital stack view
  • 00:33:20 β€” MSTR volatility playbook: portfolio allocation to harness the volatility and Q2 earnings
  • 00:37:12 β€” career risk flips: BTC credit vs. no exposure
  • 00:40:00 β€” liquidity premium: new instruments outperform
  • 00:43:55 β€” $1.3T preferred market: Bitcoin exposure for everyone
  • 00:47:17 β€” category killers: yields drop, scale rises, domination continues
  • 00:51:49 β€” BTC balance sheets: insulation from disruption
  • 00:56:07 β€” Bitcoin-backed investing: why BTC collateral matters to valuation
  • 01:00:28 β€” reducing keyman risk: Phong steps up in earnings call in a big way
  • 01:05:04 β€” investor engagement shift: teaching the market long-term strategy
  • 01:09:20 β€” Bitcoin vs. AI risk: holding BTC as hedge against job disruption
  • 01:12:00 β€” yield structure insight: preferred products with BTC dividends during inflationary times
  • 01:15:00 β€” equity issuance strategy: mNAV targets before new dilution
  • 01:18:56 β€” dividend reinvestment pressure: scaling capital raises efficiently
  • 01:23:33 β€” massive earnings potential: BTC price could 10x net income
  • 01:28:21 β€” STRC product outlook: high-yield structure with monthly payouts
  • 01:32:42 β€” Bitcoin mainstream adoption: ETFs drive broader exposure
  • 01:37:15 β€” missed BTC opportunity: corporate income priced in sats
  • 01:40:44 β€” Bitcoin as war chest: financial runway and the power of the BTC treasury
  • 01:50:17 β€” AI job displacement: how GPT and coders intersect
  • 01:54:09 β€” adapt or fall behind: AI mastery becomes essential
  • 01:55:05 β€” final thoughts:

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