In Episode 48, True North Episode 48 - High Powered Digital Money Agenda: 1. The βTwo Year Cycleβ 2. Macro - Structural Bull Market 3. Strategy Mechanics - USD reserve & common MSTR. Key discussion points include event context, trend signals, higher-timeframe structure, multi-frame review, eps thresholds. Market context: MSTR closed at $184.64 with mNAV at ~0.92.
Market Snapshot
- MSTR Open/Close: $189.32 / $184.64
- Volume: 22,458,960 Shares
- mNAV: ~0.92
- Market Cap: ~$55.9B
- U.S. Market Cap Rank: 190
- BTC Held: 660,624
Chapters
- 00:00:00 β Intro: NFA, agenda and True North overview
- 00:03:10 β Event Context: Conviction, networking and market backdrop
- 00:04:42 β Trend Signals: Chart mechanics, death cross and momentum turn
- 00:08:10 β Higher-Timeframe Structure: Weekly levels, higher lows and trend context
- 00:09:06 β Multi-Frame Review: Monthly and yearly recovery signals
- 00:12:12 β EPS Thresholds: Required BTC price for positive earnings
- 00:14:14 β Survey Momentum: Gauging ATH expectations and sentiment
- 00:16:38 β Rate Regime Change: Volatility and QE effects
- 00:18:14 β Supply Crunch Setup: ETF flows and treasury accumulation
- 00:20:04 β Fed Signals: GDP revisions and future rate cuts
- 00:22:00 β Productivity Shock: AI-driven deflation and policy response
- 00:23:57 β Fiscal Strain: Debt path, shutdown risk and tax limits
- 00:26:19 β Consumer Credit Stress: Debt stacking and inequality
- 00:29:14 β Tech Concentration: MAG7 dominance and return skew
- 00:32:45 β Hard Money Hedge: Bitcoin as monetary protection
- 00:34:57 β Treasury Math: Why printing is structurally required
- 00:37:39 β Policy Shifts: Pro-crypto Fed leadership probabilities
- 00:38:36 β Collateral Upgrade: BTC/ETH/USDC for derivatives margin
- 00:42:08 β Financial Engineering: Reserves, ratings and dividend strategy
- 00:46:07 β Buyback Mechanics: Supply reduction and accretive impact
- 00:48:06 β Treasury Strength: Dividend runway and BTC-backed reserves
- 00:50:07 β Capital Stack: Prefs, converts and liquidation coverage
- 00:52:05 β Indexing Rebuttal: Why digital treasuries arenβt funds
- 00:55:51 β Investor Discipline: Fear cycles and recovery patterns
- 00:57:54 β Reserve Strategy: Cash buffers for extended bear markets
- 00:59:37 β Debt Spiral: Election-year constraints and forced rate cuts
- 01:01:47 β Future Prep: Automation risk and asset-based resilience
- 01:03:10 β Bitcoin Integration: Payments, emerging markets and rails
- 01:04:20 β Final thoughts: Strategy World networking and key figures
Stay on Course. Get the Signal.
Subscribe for livestream reminders, key insights, and the occasional alpha drop. Straight from True North.